Citation Information

  • Title : Implications of climate change in sustained agricultural productivity in South Asia.
  • Source : Regional Environmental Change
  • Publisher : Springer-Verlag
  • Volume : 11
  • Issue : Supplement 1
  • Pages : 79-94
  • Year : 2011
  • DOI : 10.1007/s10113-0
  • ISBN : 10.1007/s10113-010-0166-9
  • Document Type : Journal Article
  • Language : English
  • Authors:
    • Murari, L.
  • Climates: Tropical (A). Temperate (C). Tropical savannah (Aw). Desert (BWh, BWk). Steppe (BSh, BSk). Humid subtropical (Cwa, Cfa).
  • Cropping Systems: Cereal crops. Irrigated cropping systems.
  • Countries: India. Pakistan.

Summary

One of the targets of the United Nations 'Millennium Development Goals' adopted in 2000 is to cut in half the number of people who are suffering from hunger between 1990 and 2015. However, crop yield growth has slowed down in much of the world because of declining investments in agricultural research, irrigation, and rural infrastructure and increasing water scarcity. New challenges to food security are posed by accelerated climatic change. Considerable uncertainties remain as to when, where and how climate change will affect agricultural production. Even less is known about how climate change might influence other aspects that determine food security, such as accessibility of food for various societal groups and the stability of food supply. This paper presents the likely impacts of thermal and hydrological stresses as a consequence of projected climate change in the future potential agriculture productivity in South Asia based on the crop simulation studies with a view to identify critical climate thresholds for sustained food productivity in the region. The study suggests that, on an aggregate level, there might not be a significant impact of global warming on food production of South Asia in the short term (

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