- Authors:
- Blignaut, J.
- Ueckermann, L.
- Aronson, J.
- Source: South African Journal of Science
- Volume: 105
- Issue: 1/2
- Year: 2009
- Summary: South Africa in general has been approximately 2% hotter and at least 6% drier over the ten years between 1997 and 2006 compared to the 1970s. The use of water has also increased greatly over this same period. By 2000, 98.6% of that year's surface water yield and 41% of the annual utilisable potential of groundwater was allocated to use. Irrigation agriculture, comprising 60% of total consumption, is by far the largest single consumer of water. Given these climatic and water use changes as a backdrop, we employed a panel data econometric model to estimate how sensitive the nation's agriculture may be to changes in rainfall. Net agricultural income in the provinces, contributing 10% or more to total production of both field crops and horticulture, is likely to be negatively affected by a decline in rainfall, especially rain-fed agriculture. For the country as a whole, each 1% decline in rainfall is likely to lead to a 1.1% decline in the production of maize (a summer grain) and a 0.5% decline in winter wheat. These results are discussed with respect to both established and emerging farmers, and the type of agriculture that should be favoured or phased out in different parts of the country, in view of current and projected trends in climate, increasing water use, and declining water availability.
- Authors:
- Issue: 05-09
- Year: 2009
- Summary: This report incorporates higher energy prices estimated by CRA International under H.R. 2454 (The American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009) on Missouri crop production costs. This analysis uses current 2009 Missouri crop production cost estimates as the base and examines the level of these production costs in 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 assuming these production costs change only as a result of the higher energy costs estimated by CRA International under H.R. 2454. Using the 11, 34 and 45 percent increases found by CRA International in motor fuel, natural gas and electricity prices, respectively, by 2050 as a result of H.R. 2454, estimated Missouri crop operating costs increase by 8.1, 8.8, 4.4 and 10.4 percent for dryland maize, irrigated maize, soyabeans and wheat, respectively.
- Authors:
- Hunt, J. R.
- Dalgliesh, N. P.
- McCown, R. L.
- Whish, J. P. M.
- Robertson, M. J.
- Foale, M. A.
- Poulton, P. L.
- Rees, H. van
- Carberry, P. S.
- Hochman, Z.
- Source: Crop & Pasture Science
- Volume: 60
- Issue: 11
- Year: 2009
- Summary: Crop simulation models relevant to real-world agriculture have been a rationale for model development over many years. However, as crop models are generally developed and tested against experimental data and with large systematic gaps often reported between experimental and farmer yields, the relevance of simulated yields to the commercial yields of field crops may be questioned. This is the third paper in a series which describes a substantial effort to deliver model-based decision support to Australian farmers. First, the performance of the cropping systems simulator, APSIM, in simulating commercial crop yields is reported across a range of field crops and agricultural regions. Second, how APSIM is used in gaining farmer credibility for their planning and decision making is described using actual case studies. Information was collated on APSIM performance in simulating the yields of over 700 commercial crops of barley, canola, chickpea, cotton, maize, mungbean, sorghum, sugarcane, and wheat monitored over the period 1992 to 2007 in all cropping regions of Australia. This evidence indicated that APSIM can predict the performance of commercial crops at a level close to that reported for its performance against experimental yields. Importantly, an essential requirement for simulating commercial yields across the Australian dryland cropping regions is to accurately describe the resources available to the crop being simulated, particularly soil water and nitrogen. Five case studies of using APSIM with farmers are described in order to demonstrate how model credibility was gained in the context of each circumstance. The proposed process for creating mutual understanding and credibility involved dealing with immediate questions of the involved farmers, contextualising the simulations to the specific situation in question, providing simulation outputs in an iterative process, and together reviewing the ensuing seasonal results against provided simulations. This paper is distinct from many other reports testing the performance and utility of cropping systems models. Here, the measured yields are from commercial crops not experimental plots and the described applications were from real-life situations identified by farmers. A key conclusion, from 17 years of effort, is the proven ability of APSIM to simulate yields from commercial crops provided soil properties are well characterised. Thus, the ambition of models being relevant to real-world agriculture is indeed attainable, at least in situations where biotic stresses are manageable.
- Authors:
- Davis, R. A.
- Huggins, D. R.
- Cook, R. J.
- Paulitz, T. C.
- Source: Canadian Journal of Plant Pathology
- Volume: 31
- Issue: 4
- Year: 2009
- Summary: Fusarium crown rot of wheat (Triticum aestivum), caused by Fusarium pseudograminearum and Fusarium culmorum, is a yield-limiting disease in the dryland wheat-production area of the intermountain Pacific Northwest and is exacerbated in water-stressed plants induced by overfertilizing with nitrogen (N). Plants with excess N deplete water from the soil profile more rapidly and become drought stressed prematurely. Traditionally a problem on winter wheat in summer fallow, this disease has become more important for spring wheat in continuous cropping areas managed for high grain protein levels. During 3 years with direct seeding (no till) near Pullman, Washington, we investigated whether a split application of N, with some applied the previous fall and some with planting, could limit the disease compared with all N applied in the spring and with no N as the check. We also investigated the influence of the previous (rotation) crop (winter and spring canola, Brassica rapa; barley, Hordeum vulgare; or peas, Pisum sativum) on disease, grain yield, grain protein concentration, and populations of Fusarium in the soil. Overall, the DNA concentration of F. culmorum was significantly greater than F. pseudograminearum, and F. culmorum was highest following spring barley. Disease severity and yield were consistently lower in the no-N treatments compared with the other N treatments. The split application reduced disease in only 1 of 3 years. The all-spring application resulted in higher grain protein in 2 of 3 years compared with the split application, but yield was not affected. The previous crop had small but significant effects on disease, but they were not consistent from year to year and often interacted with the N treatment. Grain protein was higher in wheat after pea in 2 of 3 years. In conclusion, splitting of N had little effect on fusarium crown rot, probably because the N level in both treatments was conducive for disease development. Even if not a host species, the previous crop had little effect on subsequent disease, probably because Fusarium persists for more than one season as chlamydospores and in crop residue in this dry summer climate.
- Authors:
- North Carolina Department of Revenue
- Year: 2009
- Authors:
- Niandou, M. A. S.
- Watts, D. W.
- Ahmedna, M.
- Laird, D. L.
- Busscher, W. J.
- Novak, J. M.
- Source: Soil Science
- Volume: 174
- Issue: 2
- Year: 2009
- Summary: Agricultural soils in the southeastern U.S. Coastal Plain region have meager soil fertility characteristics because of their sandy textures, acidic pH values, kaolinitic clays, low cation exchange capacities, and diminutive soil organic carbon contents. We hypothesized that biochar additions will help ameliorate some of these fertility problems. The study objectives were to determine the impact of pecan shell-based biochar additions on soil fertility characteristics and water.
- Authors:
- Bauer, P. J.
- Watts, D. W.
- Frederick, J. R.
- Novak, J. M.
- Source: Soil Science Society of America Journal
- Volume: 73
- Issue: 2
- Year: 2009
- Summary: Long-term disk tillage (DT) for cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) production in the southeastern U.S. Coastal Plain has resulted in soil organic C (SOC) content reductions. Conservation tillage (CT) management in some studies can rebuild SOC levels. A field study, with two adjacent 3.5-ha fields, both containing soil series formed in upland and depressional areas, was conducted using a 6-yr rotation of corn (Zea mays L.) and cotton to determine the CT and DT effects on SOC contents and residue characteristics returned to the soil. Annual soil samples were collected from 50 locations per field at 0- to 3- and 3- to 15-cm. After 6 yr under CT, residue accumulation promoted a significant SOC increase in the 0- to 3-cm depth in the upland soil series (about 0.7 Mg SOC ha(-1)). The lack of residue mixing in the 3- to 15-cm depth in upland Soils under CT however, resulted in a significant SOC content decline at this depth (1.25-2.51 Mg SOC ha(-1)). There was no significant SOC content change in soils under CT formed in depressional areas or in all soils under DT During 6 yr, 14.8 Mg ha(-1) of organic C from both corn and cotton residues was returned to Soils under CT but <4% was incorporated into the SOC pool. Levels of SOC in sandy upland soils can be increased at the surface after 6 yr of CT under a corn and cotton rotation, with the increase coming at the expense of an SOC decline at a deeper topsoil depth.
- Authors:
- Source: Journal of Soil and Water Conservation
- Volume: 64
- Issue: 6
- Year: 2009
- Summary: The nonpoint source pollution model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was applied to understand management options that may improve water quality in the Laguna de Santa Rosa watershed in Sonoma County, California. Surface water quality in the Laguna watershed has been significantly impaired over recent years, as natural land cover has been urbanized or converted to agricultural uses. We first generated new maps of land cover and major land uses from satellite and airborne imagery for the watershed. The SWAT model output was checked against six streamflow gauges in the watershed. At the monthly time step, we found that the precalibrated model performed well at all gauges, with the coefficient of determination () values ranging from 0.81 to 0.92. Calibration by modifications of groundwater extraction in the watershed resulted in notable increases to correlation values at all gauges, except at upstream locations on Santa Rosa Creek and Mark West Creek. Measured seasonal trends in sediment concentrations were tracked closely by the SWAT model predictions. Highest sediment loading rates were associated in the model results with pasture, rangeland, and vineyard cover areas. Model scenarios were tested for vegetation filter strips and improved ground cover conditions applied in subbasins, where soil erosion was shown to be elevated in previous simulations.
- Authors:
- Smith, K. A.
- Edwards, A. C.
- Reay, D. S.
- Source: Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment
- Volume: 133
- Issue: 3-4
- Year: 2009
- Summary: Direct and indirect nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions and leaching losses from an intensively managed grazed pasture in the Ythan catchment, Aberdeenshire, UK, were measured and compared over a 17-month period. Simultaneous measurements of farm-wide leaching losses of N2O were also made and catchment-wide fluxes were estimated from existing N leaching data. The relative importance of direct and indirect N2O fluxes at the field, farm and catchment scale was then assessed. At the field scale we found that direct N2O emissions were low (1.2 kg N ha-1 year-1, 0.6% of N input) with indirect N2O emissions via drainage waters comprising a significant proportion (25%) of total N2O emissions. At the whole-farmscale, the N2O-N emission factor (0.003) for leached NO3-N (EF5-g) was in line with the IPCC's recent downward revision. At the catchment scale, a direct N2O flux of 1.9 kg N ha-1 year-1 and an indirect flux of 0.06 kg N2O-N ha-1 year-1 were estimated. This study lends further support to the recent downward revision of the IPCC emission factor for N2O arising from leached N in surface and ground waters (EF5-g) and highlights the need for multiple point sampling to ensure that the importance of indirect N2O losses via drainage waters is not misrepresented at the farm and catchment scales.